●  IN THIS ISSUE

Chart of the Day — BTC vs. everything else
Trade of the Day — Can LINK break out?
Alpha Leaks — DeFi, stablecoins, and more
News Roundup — Anthropic's major deals
Degen Play — A stock with HYPE exposure

●  CHART OF THE DAY

The Bitcoin Big Picture

Sometimes, when the BTC price has been choppy–and especially when everything else is ripping–you can lose sight of why we all started HODLing in the first place.

But take a look at these zoomed-out charts posted by Rand Group for a visual refresher of what a powerhouse Bitcoin is. The charts show four other assets–gold, silver, stocks and oil–priced against BTC, and all are in similar, long-term downtrending channels, losing value against the world’s hardest asset.

●  TRADE OF THE DAY

Time to Long LINK?

LINK has been compressing for weeks at the bottom of a long downtrend, but it now looks to be breaking above the $10 resistance level, while reclaiming the 50-day EMA, which potentially shifts structure back towards a bullish trend.

Momentum supports the move, with RSI spiking sharply up into the high-60s, although we don’t yet have strong volume, so there’s reason for caution too.

If LINK holds above $10, then long positions can target $12, and then $14 and potentially higher if there is momentum. On the other hand, if the breakout fails then look for support back at the 50-day EMA.

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●  ALPHA LEAKS
META · STOCK

Meta is developing an agentic AI assistant, using its Muse Spark model, designed to autonomously carry out everyday tasks on behalf of users.

POL · CRYPTO

Polygon has launched private stablecoin payments, using zero-knowledge proofs via privacy protocol Hinkal. This enables USDC and USDT transfers that are non-custodial but hide transaction details.

JTO · CRYPTO

Jito is building a trading platform called JTX. Based on Solana, it will launch with spot trading, with plans to integrate perps trading and prediction markets later.

SOL · CRYPTO

Solana Foundation has launched Pay.sh in collaboration with Google Cloud. This enables AI agents to autonomously discover and access APIs, and to pay for requests using stablecoins on Solana.

SOFI · STOCK

SoFi is planning to issue its SoFiUSD stablecoin on Solana, after having first launched it on Ethereum last December.

DRIFT · CRYPTO

Exploited DeFi protocol Drift has released a recovery map, with plans to issue loss-representing tokens to affected users. You can check full details in the [Drift post](https://www.drift.trade/updates/recovery-plan-for-affected-users).

RSETH · CRYPTO

KelpDAO, another DeFi protocol hit recently by a major exploit, is migrating from LayerZero to Chainlink.

●  NEWS ROUNDUP

Strategy Pivots on Selling Bitcoin

Strategy, the world’s largest holder of bitcoin after Satoshi Nakamoto, gave an earnings call this week in which CEO Phong Le stated,

“We will sell Bitcoin when it's advantageous to the company”.

One long-term aim of this is to increase BTC per share, and Michael Saylor also explained that,

“You buy Bitcoin with credit, you let it appreciate, and then you sell Bitcoin to pay the dividend”.

This might seem like an innocuous part of Strategy’s financial engineering, allowing not only for dividend funding, but also for tax and balance sheet optimization, except that Strategy’s public position up to now has been to diamond-hand its BTC forever.

At the least, it’s an ideological pivot–from never sell to sell when advantageous–and we also end up in a situation where BTC is sold to pay dividends on a stock instrument that itself was sold in order to buy BTC.

It may be that we’re watching Strategy bump up against its own structural constraints, although this can be interpreted more positively as the company simply repositioning its BTC as a more flexible asset.

Ultimately though, Strategy is tasked with balancing three duties: Paying STRC dividends, ensuring that MSTR holders don’t take the hit on STRC payments, and maintaining the image of a diamond-handed BTC custodian.

It’s a tightrope act (on a unicycle while juggling) but don’t forget that Strategy's entire BTC plan is predicated on one assumption: that over time, the price of BTC goes up. If they’re right about that, then the market will cut them enough slack.

Anthropic Makes Google and SpaceX Deals

Google is close to becoming the most valuable company in the world, thanks to news that Anthropic has committed to spending $200 billion for access to Google’s cloud servers and chips..

The deal was reported in The Information, which also detailed that Anthropic’s spending will extend over a period of five years, starting in 2027. Google parent company Alphabet’s market cap has subsequently risen to $4.8 trillion, while Nvidia is still on top at $5 trillion.

Remarkably, planned spending from Anthropic and OpenAI combined now accounts for $2 trillion of revenue backlog across Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Oracle, while Anthropic now accounts for 40% of Google’s cloud revenue backlog.

It was also announced yesterday that Anthropic has struck a deal with SpaceX to gain access to SpaceX’s Colossus I data center, which includes over 220,000 Nvidia GPUs. Relatedly, an Elon Musk reply on X states that xAI is to be dissolved, with its products to become SpaceXAI, under SpaceX.

HIP-4 Can Be Huge for Hyperliquid

Hyperliquid last week launched HIP-4, and the numbers so far are constructive. In case you missed it, HIP-4 is a new primitive allowing for onchain outcome contracts, which initially means prediction markets.

Hyperliquid can then compete with Polymarket and Kalshi, but HIP-4 actually goes beyond just this use case, and also opens the door to “bounded options-like instruments” (in Hyperliquid’s words), and other applications.

As for the numbers, the first week of HIP-4 trading (contracts on BTC price movements are currently active) saw $10.4 million in volume, with over 4,000 unique traders, and 92% of trades below $1,000, so this is retail-driven activity.

●  DEGEN PLAY OF THE DAY

Can PURR Outperform HYPE?

As mentioned, Hyperliquid is innovating fast, and the HYPE token has more than doubled in price since its January lows. But if you prefer a stock market play that offers exposure to HYPE, then check Hyperliquid Strategies (PURR).

This is a HYPE treasury company that currently holds 19.7 million HYPE worth $872 million, and unlike other DATs, its strategy includes buying back stock when it trades at a discount to mNAV.

PURR is up 94% YTD, while HYPE is up 74% in the same period, so if you remain bullish on HYPE as a medium-to-long term crypto hold, then PURR offers the potential to outperform the underlying asset.

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