Bitcoin Breaks the Bears

Chart of the Day — Bitcoin's Structural Change
Trade of the Day — Longing PUMP
Alpha Leaks — Aave, Injective, & Meta
News Roundup — Bitcoin Breaks the Bears, Trump - Xi Meeting, & Coinbase IPO Access

Bitcoin's Structural Change

We dive into the full implications of Bitcoin’s latest move in your first news story below; but for now, notice the bearish price structure that Bitcoin has been in since October 2025.

Basically, it’s been a staircase down for the past eleven months. The price nukes south to establish a new lower low. It stabilizes and grinds slightly north to form a new lower high. And then we get another plunge south for a fresh lower low. Rinse and repeat.

Bitcoin’s last major lower high was $82.7K (formed in May). The bulls have been needing prices to break and close above this point, because such a print snaps the bearish price structure, and puts Bitcoin back into a neutral-to-bullish formation. Essentially, such a move wrests control away from the bears, and makes it very likely that $57K was the cycle bottom.

And this is exactly what happened yesterday. Now, none of this means we’ll be at new all-time highs tomorrow (i.e. Bitcoin could grind sideways here for months), but it does mean that we’re likely in the very beginning phases of Bitcoin’s next bullrun.

Longing PUMP

With the broader crypto markets moving north, we think there’s a catch-up trade here for PUMP. At the time of this writing, the asset has not meaningfully moved up in conjunction with Bitcoin’s latest break above $82.7K, but PUMP is holding above this falling wedge’s resistance line.

Therefore, we like the long entry on PUMP at $0.0043.

Now go premium for the full technical long on PUMP, with the recommended stop loss and take profit targets. Inner Circle members have been stacking wins recently, with successful BTC, UNI, ZEC, and TSLA trades generating real percentage gains. Go premium today to catch our signals.

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Bitcoin Breaks the Bears

In Monday’s early morning trading hours, Bitcoin woke up and chose violence . . . against the bears. Prices shattered the prior lower high at $82.7K; and as we mentioned above, Bitcoin is now in a neutral-to-bullish price structure, with $57K most likely being the established cycle bottom.

We’re back, baby!! Let’s discuss the likely reasons for why Bitcoin is making this move now, and what to possibly expect from now through the end of the year.

So why this move and why now? Here’s what we think is happening:

● The Market Digested Fed Rate Hike & CLARITY Failure: Last week’s rate hike and legislative failure were bearish, but both were largely priced in beforehand. So once each event occurred and Bitcoin didn’t suffer any meaningful drops, the market was able to digest and clear away the bad news, leaving nothing but room to the upside.

● Short Squeeze: Lots of shorts were stacked just above $82.7K, so when that level fell, the liquidations started rolling in and traders were forced to buy spot to cover their losses. That pushed prices further north. By late Monday afternoon, more than $700M in shorts had been wiped out.

● ETFs, Strategy & Strive: We’re getting fresh inflows from all three. Last week, the ETFs were net positive, and Strategy and Strive each purchased 950 and 1,355 BTC, respectively. When buyers step back in after the sellers are exhausted, it means higher prices.

Those are the current whys. But what can we expect from now until the end of the year? Well, we think the most likely path over the next three months is sideways grind from $70K to $100K. Such a move would be consistent with Bitcoin’s prior accumulation phases, and it’s much more likely than a break into new structural lows or all-time highs.

Trump - Xi Meeting is Wednesday to Friday

Trump and Xi are set to meet in Washington DC this Wednesday through Friday. This is a consequential meeting between the world’s two super-powers, and they'll be discussing a lot of issues that directly affect our markets.

So Thursday afternoon and evening is the time allotted for joint press conferences and announcements. It makes sense to keep close tabs on the news during this time if you’re trying to take advantage of price volatility.

But broadly speaking, the likely issues to be discussed are trade and tariffs, AI / AI safety, rare earth minerals, tech, Taiwan, and the Middle East. In particular, the current US / China trade truce expires on November 10th, so be on the lookout for an extension announcement or cut in tariffs during Thursday’s press conference.

Concerning the markets that we’re working in, treat this meeting as a volatility event. A trade truce extension or rare-earth deal would be risk-on, while no trade announcement or gridlock on Taiwan or Iran would be risk-off.

Coinbase Launches IPO Access for US Retail

According to a company blog post released yesterday, Coinbase now lets US retail buy stock IPO shares. The first IPO to be available on Coinbase is Oura, which debuts this week.

Now technically speaking, users will request to purchase IPO shares, and those requests can come back filled, partially filled, or not filled. This is the normal IPO process, and it all depends on demand. And we’re talking real IPO shares here — not some kind of perp or derivative. Moreover, Coinbase already allows US users to transfer their existing stock portfolios over into the exchange.

Zooming out, Coinbase is framing IPO access as yet another step in becoming the “Everything Exchange”, which is their term to describe one exchange that handles crypto, stocks, IPOs, perps, and options (rumored to be on the way).

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