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●  IN THIS ISSUE

Chart of the Day — US Consumer Inflation Since 1977
Trade of the Day — Longing STRC
Alpha Leaks — JUP, LIT, & NEAR
News Roundup — Strategy Sells/BTC Pumps, ETFs Flip Positive, & This Week's Economic Data

●  CHART OF THE DAY

US Consumer Inflation Since 1977

From the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, here’s the percentage price changes on a select basket of US goods and services from 1977 to today, adjusted for changes in wages.

While electronics like cellphones, software, and audio equipment are down 80% to 95%, you can see that core essentials for living, things like beef, housing, and hospital services are up 46%, 59%, and 304%, respectively.

So this is another reminder of the importance of long-term investing. Most fiat currencies, including the US dollar, are melting ice-cubes, and the melt-rate is projected to increase from here.

●  TRADE OF THE DAY

Longing STRC

Given the pivot that Strategy is making (see first news story), we think the market is undervaluing STRC here. Remember that Strategy is now paying 12% APR on this product, and the company has indirectly stated that they’ll backstop it.

Therefore, we like STRC longs (perps) with prices just under $90. STRC perps are available on Hyperliquid and Lighter, so check if your exchange offers the product.

Go Premium for the full technical setup on longing STRC, with the recommended stop loss and take profit targets. Inner Circle members have been stacking wins recently, with successful Bitcoin and ZCash shorts generating real percentage gains. We’re taking positions regardless if the larger market is going up or down. Go premium today to catch our signals.

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●  ALPHA LEAKS
JTO · CRYPTO

Jito might be launching their new trading platform - JTX Trade - this month. JTX Trade is a new Solana-based, self-custodial trading platform that allows users to trade spot, perps, and prediction markets.

JUP · CRYPTO

Jupiter successfully launched the private beta of GUM yesterday. GUM (“Giant Unified Market”) is Jupiter’s long-term project to build an on-chain market where virtually anything can be traded.

LIT · CRYPTO

Lighter’s tokenized stocks are expected to launch next week. Users can currently trade stock perps (derivatives with funding fees attached), but tokenized stocks will allow for spot holding / trading on the exchange. This launch is in collaboration with Robinhood.

NEAR · CRYPTO

NEAR Protocol is hosting “The Big Reveal” livestream today, at 11:00 am ET, on X and YouTube. This livestream's teaser is “What’s inside the black box for your business”, and the speculation is NEAR will be announcing a major AI agent toolset for businesses and enterprises.

PENG · STOCK

Penguin Solution’s Q3 2026 earnings drop today after the bell. The forecast is $0.52 EPS and $399M revenues. Penguin Solutions is a smaller tech company focused on high-performance compute, AI infrastructure, and data center solutions.

SKHY · STOCK

SK Hynix will begin trading on US markets after the opening bell on Friday. SK Hynix is a $1T (USD) semiconductor company already trading on the Korean stock exchange. This inclusion into US markets will be one of the biggest foreign listings in history.

SPCX · STOCK

SpaceX is joining the Nasdaq-100 today, just before the markets open. This event will trigger billions in passive inflows via index funds (i.e. QQQ) over time.

●  NEWS ROUNDUP

Strategy Sells 3,588 Coins & Bitcoin Pumps?!

Strategy announced yesterday that the company sold 3,588 Bitcoin last week, generating $216M in cash. The company’s stated purpose was to replenish its dollar reserves for its preferred stock payments (e.g. STRC).

Currently, Strategy holds 843,775 Bitcoin, acquired at an average price of $75.4K per coin. The company’s USD reserve stands at $2.55B, which covers 17 months of dividend payments. Strategy holds $52B in Bitcoin with $7B in debt (i.e. the company’s current Bitcoin leverage is approximately 1.16X).

Back to yesterday’s announcement, the most interesting part was the market’s reaction — which ironically was bullish. Bitcoin dropped $2K when the news was first released, but then the asset reversed and pumped $3.5K to $64,600. Thus, yesterday’s price action stands in stark contrast to Strategy’s first disclosed sale of the cycle, back on June 1st, when a 32 BTC sale coincided with a sharp technical breakdown that sent prices from $73K to $59K.

Now here’s the million dollar question: why was this sale ironically bullish for Bitcoin?

Our view (discussed last week) is because Strategy’s pivot to being an opportune Bitcoin buyer and seller is extremely healthy for Bitcoin and the related digital credit ecosystem, and the market knows that. Strategy’s signal that they won’t infinitely lever up their Bitcoin reduces long-term risk. It’s as simple as that. Moreover, Strategy’s pivot likely increases confidence for STRC holders, and that increased confidence paves the way for more Bitcoin purchases in the future.

US BTC ETF Inflows Positive for Consecutive Two Days

The spot Bitcoin ETFs posted inflows for a second straight trading day, with $265M in inflows yesterday and $223M on Friday.

Friday’s positive result snapped a 10-day losing streak that had drained more than $2.7B from the funds. May and June were extremely rough for the ETFs, with basically all but a handful of days posting outflows. In fact, June recorded the largest monthly outflows on record, with $4.3B flowing away from the products.

The combined AUM of all the ETFs peaked at $167B on October 7, 2025. That number is $79B, currently.

But as we’ve been discussing for the last few weeks, the ETF flow data remains a key indicator at this point in the cycle. We believe that a shift from sustained outflows to neutral or modestly positive inflows likely provides signal that the price has bottomed for the cycle.

This Week’s Economic Calendar & Data

Last week, we got a mix of US economic and employment data prints, with most of the prints showing a slightly cooling economy and weakening labor market, respectively.

This week, we’ve got fresh data on the US services sector and FOMC minutes, amongst other prints. Here’s the highlights.

● S&P Global Services PMI for June (Yesterday): Measures activity in the US services sector, which makes up the bulk of the economy. The print came in at 51.2, slightly below both the forecast and previous reading of 51.3. This print signals continued growth, but at a slightly slower pace.

● ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for June (Yesterday): Another services sector gauge. The print came in at 54.0, slightly below the 54.2 forecast and 54.5 previous reading. Another sign of slightly slowing growth.

● Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday, 8:30 am ET): Weekly measure of new unemployment filings. Rising claims signal a softening labor market. The forecast is 218K, up slightly from the previous 215K reading.

● Existing Home Sales for June (Thursday, 10:00 am ET): The number of previously owned homes sold. A higher number of sales signals a stronger economy. The forecast is 4.2M, compared to the previous 4.17M reading.

● FOMC Meeting Minutes (Thursday, 2:00 pm ET): Details from the Fed’s most recent meeting. Markets will look for insights into how officials are assessing inflation, the economy, the labor market, and interest rates going forward.

These releases will be watched closely within the context of sticky inflation and a labor market that’s showing gradual signs of cooling.

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