Gladly Connect Live '26. May 4–6 in Atlanta.

The room you want to be in. This is where CX leaders are tackling the hard AI questions and sharing what's actually working. For CX and ecommerce leaders. Atlanta, May 4–6. Space is limited — secure your spot now.

●  IN THIS ISSUE

Chart of the Day — Channel Breakouts & ATHs
Trade of the Day — ETH Short Open Now
Alpha Leaks — MegaETH, Pharos Network & Rayls
News Roundup — BTC Reserve Announcement, Fed Rate Decision & DeFi United
Degen Play — HYPE Short Open Now

●  CHART OF THE DAY

Channel Breakouts & ATHs

AMD, NVDA, and the S&P 500. Last week, we signaled breakouts on both AMD and NVDA’s sideways channels. AMD hit the technical take-profit on Friday, and NVDA got more than half-way there yesterday.

And it’s the blue-sky breakouts of these major tech stocks that helped the S&P 500 index to hit fresh all-time highs yesterday at 7,178.

But prepare for possible downside pressure given continued elevated oil prices, uncertainty in the run-up to tomorrow’s FOMC press conference, and breaking news this morning that Open AI failed to meet its own goals with regards to new users and sales (i.e. fears of AI bubble).

●  TRADE OF THE DAY

ETH Short Open Now

ETH looks especially vulnerable this morning, so we think shorting the asset is a good trade that’s open now.

Notice how the price has failed to hold this wedge’s resistance as support and the 20D EMA. Basically, there’s a lot of air below the asset from current prices to this wedge’s support line at $2,060.

Now there might be a bit of support at $2,250 (the most recent local low), but if price breaks below that, then the setup from here to the bottom of this wedge looks pretty good.

●  JOIN THE INNER CIRCLE
Inner Circle

Stop Missing the Trades That Change Lives

Know the Big Trades Before They Hit

While most people are drowning in noise, a quiet group of investors already knows what's coming. They've got the research, the setups, and the edge.

This is the Inner Circle. We cut through the chaos and help deliver real signal.

Start your 7-day free trial right now — and discover what you've been missing.

Start Free Trial →
●  ALPHA LEAKS
AAPL · STOCK

Apple’s fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report is set for this Thursday after the markets close. Expectations are $109.5B in revenues and $1.95 in adjusted earnings per share (EPS).

HYPE · CRYPTO

Hyperliquid is processing 50% of all RWA transactions across all of DeFi.

MEGA · CRYPTO

MegaETH’s token generation event happens this Thursday. MegaETH is the highly-anticipated ETH L2 with 100K TPS, and MEGA is the protocol’s utility and governance token.

MSFT · STOCK

Microsoft’s fiscal Q3 2026 earnings report happens tomorrow after the markets close. Expectations are $81.4B in revenues and $4.07 in adjusted EPS.

META · STOCK

Meta Platforms’ Q1 2026 earnings are also coming tomorrow after the markets close. Expectations are $55.4B in revenues and $6.70 in adjusted EPS.

PROS · CRYPTO

Pharos Network’s mainnet launches today. Pharos Network is described as a high-performance L1 purpose-built for RWAs, institutions, and compliance-focused applications.

RLS · CRYPTO

Rayls’ public chain mainnet launches Thursday. Rayls, called “the blockchain for banks”, is a hybrid ecosystem that includes a public EVM-compatible L1 combined with permissioned chains for banks and institutions.

●  NEWS ROUNDUP

White House Teases BTC Reserve Announcement

Speaking on a panel yesterday at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas, White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt teased a “big announcement [within] the next few weeks” relating to President Trump’s strategic Bitcoin reserve.

Witt elaborated that officials have been working behind the scenes on implementing Trump’s strategic reserve executive order (EO), and that a “big step forward” is coming.

Last year, President Trump signed an EO creating the strategic Bitcoin reserve and a separate digital asset stockpile. Both are funded primarily through criminal and civil seizures.

Now what’s particularly interesting about Witt’s comments is the timing with three other events happening in Washington DC:

BITCOIN Act: Senator Lummis has reintroduced this bill (renamed the American Reserves Modernization Act (ARMA)), which would codify the reserve and authorize acquiring 1M BTC over five years.

CLARITY Act: Another push to get this stablecoin legislation through the Senate Banking Committee will happen in May.

Bitcoin as “Power Projection”: That’s what US Admiral Samuel Paparo, Jr. said last week in live testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee, when describing Bitcoin’s cybersecurity defenses against other nation-states.

Taken together, Witt’s comments plus these other events indicate that Bitcoin is being taken very seriously in the US capital. Let’s see if any major developments transpire within the next few weeks.

Fed’s Rate Decision Happens Tomorrow

The Federal Reserve’s two-day FOMC meeting wraps up tomorrow, with the rate decision release at 2:00 pm EST, and Chair Powell’s press conference at 2:30 pm EST.

Currently, the market is estimating a 95% - 100% probability that rates remain steady between 3.5% - 3.75%, where it’s sat since January.

The odds for a rate hold are very high because the Fed has zero reasons to lower them. On the inflation side, the biggest concern is oil prices ($100 per barrel), which basically locks in higher inflation levels over the short-term. And that’s not mentioning the latest CPI and PCE numbers, both of which were elevated. Then on the US employment / economy side, there’s resilience. Unemployment is slightly down while consumer spending is up.

So when it comes to the Fed’s dual mandate, the fight is against inflation, given the labor market is showing strength. So for tomorrow, the market will be listening to Powell’s tone and wording for hints on possible cuts, holds, or hikes for later this year.

"DeFi United" Launches to Backstop Kelp DAO Hack

Key DeFi leaders have launched a coordinated rescue effort called “DeFi United” to backstop losses and help make users whole in the wake of the Kelp DAO hack.

As of Monday, the initiative has secured roughly $303M in commitments from major players, including 30K ETH from Consensys, 5K ETH from Etherfi, and 2.5K stETH from Lido, amongst others. The goal is to flip the Kelp DAO hack from a minor catastrophe into a more temporary set-back, and to help restore confidence in the broader ecosystem.

For context, DeFi United comes after an April 18th hack which cascaded into 14% of DeFi’s TVL leaving the ecosystem within 72 hours.

As reported last week, a forged cross-chain message on Kelp DAO’s LayerZero bridge printed 116.5K rsETH - worth $292M - out of thin air. The attacker deposited most of it into Aave and borrowed $190M against the bogus funds, leaving AAVE’s lenders holding hundreds of millions in bad debt. Then panic ensued, resulting in even larger outflows across DeFi.

Last week, we said that if DeFi is going to survive, it must build more robust systems to stop hacks like this from happening. So while DeFi United isn’t preventative, it’s most certainly a step in the right direction.

●  DEGEN PLAY OF THE DAY

HYPE Short Open Now

Last Thursday, we noted this rising wedge formation on HYPE. Well, the price earlier this morning has broken below the wedge’s support. So there’s a DEGEN short available, with a take-profit at $28, if you want it.

But two points of caution. First, there’s no elevated volumes on this breakdown. So thus far, HYPE holders aren’t running for the exits. And second, it is HYPE we’re talking about here — the power-house DEX with a serious buy-back mechanism. So if you’re going to short this, make sure you use a stop-loss (i.e. $43.90).

●  RECOMMENDED PARTNERS
Bitunix BITUNIX — TRADE THE TOP COINS

Available everywhere

Ledger LEDGER — BEST CRYPTO WALLET

Keep your assets safe

Kraken KRAKEN — TRADE STOCKS UP TO 20X LEVERAGE

Spot trade stocks too!

Partner4 BULLIONSTAR - PROTECT YOUR WEALTH

Because when things break… Gold and silver don’t.

Want to reach 160K+ crypto investors?

Apply to sponsor this newsletter →

This content is intended purely for general knowledge and educational discussion. It is not financial advice, a recommendation, or a financial promotion under the laws of any jurisdiction. Nothing shared here should be interpreted as an offer to buy or sell any virtual asset, financial product, or security. The material is not tailored to any specific investor profile and is not intended to guide investment decisions. All views expressed are personal opinions or general commentary for informational purposes only. Unless explicitly stated, no part of this content has been sponsored, commissioned, or endorsed by any issuer, platform, or third party. Virtual Assets involve significant risk and can be extremely volatile. You could lose some or all of your investment, and there are no legal or financial protections in place. Some assets may be illiquid, difficult to transfer, or subject to irreversible transactions. Past results do not predict future performance. This content does not imply that investing is easy, safe, or guaranteed to yield returns. Where partnerships or paid collaborations are involved, those will be clearly marked in accordance with applicable disclosure requirements. Please do your own research and speak with a qualified advisor before making any investment. Only invest what you’re fully prepared to lose.

Full disclosure of all crypto & venture investments

Keep Reading