●  IN THIS ISSUE

Chart of the Day — Historic S&P 500 Call Volume
Trade of the Day — Rare Earths Are Ready to Run
Alpha Leaks — Deals from Intel, Amazon, RocketLab, Anthropic + more
News Roundup — The AI Data Center Trade Is Back + more
Degen Play — S&P 500 Max High Price Prediction

●  CHART OF THE DAY

Historic S&P 500 Call Volume

The S&P 500 reached a record high of 7,400 on Friday in its longest winning streak since 2024. It’s up 17% since the US-Iran war bottom on March 30th, with over $10 trillion added in the past 40 days.

Call option volume exploded to a record $2.6 trillion in a single day, with calls making up 58% of all options traded. That’s 4x more than early 2023, showing just how fast risk appetite has re-entered the market since the Middle East conflict began.

When traders buy big amounts of calls, the market makers selling those calls are forced to hedge by buying the underlying stocks, creating a gamma squeeze and pushing prices higher.

This is one of the biggest stock market reversals in history.

●  TRADE OF THE DAY

Rare Earths Are Ready to Run

MP Materials [MP] is flashing a textbook double bottom reversal on the weekly chart. After two successful tests of the $45 floor over the last several months, the stock has reclaimed its $68 resistance level and turned it into support.

The setup is supported by high short interest, which could provide the fuel for a massive move higher as shorts are forced to cover. The entry would be on any retest of the $67–$68 zone. Keep an initial stop loss below $62 to protect the trade.

The first target is ~$74, at which point I’d suggest moving the stop loss up to that level to lock in gains. Because there is very little historical resistance above that point. The secondary target would be the $83–$90 range.

This company is one to watch as money rotates back into the rare earths theme.

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●  ALPHA LEAKS
INTC · STOCK

Intel has agreed a preliminary deal with Apple to manufacture some of the chips for Apple devices. This major deal is a significant vote of confidence in Intel and provides Apple with a second source of chips beyond just TSMC. Intel shares jumped almost 14% on Friday on the news.

AMZN · STOCK

Amazon Web Services (AWS) has partnered with Coinbase and Stripe to launch a stablecoin payment infrastructure platform for autonomous AI agents called Amazon Bedrock AgentCore Payments. AI agents within the platform can pay for APIs, web content and digital services.

RKLB · STOCK

RocketLab jumped 34% in its best trading day after announcing a Q1 earnings beat and its biggest contract ever with a confidential customer for its Neutron and Electron rockets through 2029.

DRAM · STOCK

Roundhill Investment’s Memory ETF has become the fastest-growing ETF since the Bitcoin mania in 2024. DRAM has seen inflows every day since launch, raising more than $5 billion since April 2nd, including the first billion in the first 10 trading days and a further $1.1 billion on Thursday alone.

COIN · STOCK

Coinbase has launched Gold and Silver Futures outside the US and is working with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to move gold and silver futures to 24-hour trading.

TON · CRYPTO

Toncoin rallied 119% after Telegram announced it would replace the TON Foundation as the network's primary driving force and become its largest validator within 2-3 weeks.

AKAM · STOCK

Akamai has announced a $1.8 billion deal with Anthropic alongside Q1 earnings that came in on target. The stock price jumped 20% on the news.

●  NEWS ROUNDUP

Wall St. Swaps TACOs For NACHOs

Wall Street has swapped the TACO trade for NACHO — “Not A Chance Hormuz Opens.” Wall St. is growing skeptical that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen anytime soon with ongoing US-Iran tensions keeping oil prices elevated in the $90-$110/barrel range and shipping insurance premiums high.

Trump says he’s awaiting Iran’s response to a peace proposal, while new sanctions roll out.

Despite the geopolitical uncertainty, the latest US jobs report beat expectations for the second month in a row. The US economy added 115,000 jobs in April, beating forecasts of 90,000, and the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%.

The market is choosing AI profit strength over near-term macro and geopolitical noise for now. This works while earnings momentum stays strong, but it increases vulnerability if oil stays elevated or tensions worsen.

The AI Data Center Trade Is Back

Earnings season just confirmed it…the AI data center trade is growing faster than anyone expected. Every major name in the space either signed a deal, raised capital, or is about to report earnings:

IREN: Signed a $3.4 billion, 5-year AI cloud contract with Nvidia to power AI factories and the right to invest up to $2.1 billion in IREN at $70 a share. Bernstein raises PT to $100.

Terawulf [WULF]: HPC revenue of $21 million surpassed Bitcoin mining for the first time in Q1.

Cipher Digital [CIFR]: Signed its third AI hyperscale campus lease client and secured a $200M credit line.

Digi Power X [DGXX]: Signed a $1.1 billion 10-year data center contract with Cerebras. This could extend up to $2.5 billion.

Keel Infrastructure (formerly Bitfarms) [KEEL]: Due to announce its earnings on May 11th – investors are hoping for a positive update on its 2.2 GW pipeline leasing progress.

CleanSpark [CLSK]: Due to announce its earnings on May 11th – any positive updates on its pivot to AI data center could lift the stock price.

Watch this sector on Monday. KEEL and CLSK report earnings, and both have AI pivot stories the market is waiting to price in.

Crypto Clarity Act Senate Showdown Next Week

The US Senate Banking Committee will finally sit down to discuss the long-awaited Clarity Act on May 14th.

The sticking point for months had been the banks fighting a provision that allows stablecoin rewards, arguing it pulls deposits out of the TradFi system.

A stablecoin compromise was first reached in principle on March 20th, allowing exchanges to pay rewards on transaction activity but not on passive savings. However, the final legislative text was only officially released at the beginning on May.

This latest release of the actual wording resolved the longstanding dispute and directly paved the way for the Senate Banking Committee to schedule the executive session for May 14th.

This meeting will be followed by a Senate floor vote in June and House passage before the July 4th deadline.

●  DEGEN PLAY OF THE DAY

S&P 500 Max High Price Prediction

Wall Street’s 2026 year-end targets show an average of around 7,600–7,700, with high-end forecasts from Deutsche Bank at 8,000 and Oppenheimer at 8,100.

The index is already hitting all-time highs with strong earnings growth and AI momentum intact. Reaching 8,000 requires only ~8–9% upside from current levels, a move the S&P has made multiple times in this bull run. And could make a run for after the mid-term elections are resolved.

The play is to buy YES shares of 7,800 or above for 69.7¢ on Kalshi. Given that the S&P 500 is now in overbought territory on the daily and bordering on overbought on the weekly timeframe, look to either enter or top up your position if and when there’s a pullback.

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